Rents in UK are rising at highest rate in decades. Will they keep going up?

Rents in the UK are now at the highest point on record, surging beyond wider inflation and leaving renters on low incomes struggling to keep up or find an affordable place to live.

Average private rents in the UK increased by 9% in the 12 months up to December 2024, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Analysis from the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF), found rent inflation has been above 8% for the last 17 consecutive months.

Tenants are still paying £110 more every month on average than they were a year ago. In London, renters are having to find as much as £200 extra each month after rents rose by 11.5% annually.

Rents are rising at a much faster rate than both inflation and wages.

Inflation is currently at 2.5% as of December 2024, according to the Bank of England, while renters are also feeling the pain from rising energy costs too.

The Labour government has promised to abolish no-fault evictions, which allow landlords to evict tenants without giving a reason, through its Renters’ Rights Bill after the Conservatives’ Renters Reform Bill failed.

Labour has promised the bill will end bidding wars between tenants as well as giving renters stronger rights to keep pets and avoid discrimination if they have children or are in receipt of benefits.

The most recent ONS private renting statistics came a day after the bill completed its journey through the House of Commons.

Tom Darling, director of the Renters’ Reform Coalition, said: “The day after the Renters’ Rights Bill passes its report stage in the House of Commons, new data reveals the scale of the ongoing affordability crisis for renters – average rents in England increased by over 9% over the past year.

“The bill that progressed last night will bring in some much-needed changes, but as it stands it fails to address the biggest problem for most renters – the outrageous cost of renting a home. With rents wildly outstripping inflation, are private renters meant to stand by and say nothing as we get poorer relative to everyone else?”

“If the government won’t cap rents through the Renters’ Rights Bill they should establish a National Rental Affordability Commission, to look at all options to get a grip on the situation and actually bring rents down relative to wages.”

The devolved countries in the UK have engaged with the issue of rising rents more directly than Westminster in recent years. The Scottish government limited rent increases and banned evictions between September 2022 and April 2024 and are planning long-term rent controls. The Welsh government has also consulted on the idea of bringing in rent controls.

How much is rent in UK?

Around 4.7 million households use the private rented sector in England with 11 million renters. Around 450,000 households in Wales are private renters while 887,000 households renting in Scotland, including 323,000 renting privately.

The private rented sector is now the second biggest tenure of housing in England behind owner occupiers, making around a fifth of all households in the country.

The most recent ONS statistics show average rents increased 9.2% annually to £1,369 a month in England, rose 8.5% to £777 in Wales and 6.9% to £991 in Scotland in the year up to December 2024.

Renters in London are seeing the biggest increases in the UK with rents 11.5% higher than in 2023 – slightly down on the highest rise on record of 11.6% recorded in November – at an average price of £2,220.

The Westminster government unfroze local housing allowance in April 2024 but tenants on low incomes are still facing a challenge to keep up.

Labour declined to help renters keep up with rising rents when chancellor Rachel Reeves opted not to raise local housing allowance in line with the bottom 30% of market rents.

Joseph Rowntree Foundation’s Rachelle Earwaker said: “Local housing allowance (LHA) was kept frozen at the latest budget, so the gap between these rising rents and the shortfall families need to cover is getting wider. The government must reverse this decision and permanently link LHA to what rents cost, so renters don’t face another winter of impossible choices. They must also ensure that the other benefits families receive actually cover the cost of their essentials.”

Households have faced rising bills and food costs in recent years as part of the cost of living crisis and there is no respite when it comes to housing costs.

But there has been little action on the issues driving rising rents, namely high demand for properties and a lack of supply.

Research from Zoopla found tenants are paying £3,240 more to rent each year than during the pandemic in 2021.

A 27% rise in the cost of a new lets has seen tenants face an extra £270 a month in rents on average over the last three years while earnings have only grown by 19% over the same period, according to the property portal’s analysis.

Why is UK rent so high?

The short answer to why rent is so high is because there is a shortage of affordable housing.

There is a housing crisis in the UK because not enough homes have been built by successive governments in the last few decades at a time where social housing stock has been sold off to the private sector through Right to Buy or demolished and not replaced.

An estimate from the National Housing Federation found around 340,000 new homes should be supplied in England each year with 145,000 them to be affordable. Shelter has called for 90,000 social rent homes to be built each year for the next decade.

The previous Conservative government has previously targeted 300,000 new homes in England – a 2019 manifesto commitment – but failed to hit that mark. In 2023-24, 235,00 new homes were supplied, but the signs ahead suggest annual delivery could fall.

Despite this, Labour has committed to building 1.5 million homes by 2029, including prioritising social rent homes to ease the demand on the private rented sector in the long-term.

Meanwhile, areas like Cornwall where tourism has seen a surge in short-term lets through the rise of Airbnb in recent years faces even more pressures on demand.

The private rental sector has picked up the slack in recent years and has doubled in size over the last two decades.

The stiff competition has seen rents on the market increase but many landlords have kept pace by putting up rents for existing tenants.

While generally speaking there is a shortage of private rental properties across the UK, the difference between supply and demand changes from region to region.

Will rent prices go down in 2025?

Rising rents are having an impact – the latest Ministry of Justice (MoJ) figures show the number of tenants evicted by private landlords continuing to surge.

A total of 2,830 households were evicted from their homes through no-fault eviction, also known as a section 21 eviction, from July to September 2024 – up by 23% during the same timeframe in 2023.

The MOJ figures also show that 8,425 households were served with a section 21 eviction notice from July to September this year, the highest number in eight years.

Rents on new properties are starting to hit the highest point of what tenants can afford, which is seeing rises start to slow. But it is a long way from rents starting to fall.

There is reason to think rents could yet rise further.

Zoopla is forecasting annual rent inflation of around 4% in 2025 – the lowest rate for three years.

Meanwhile, the National Residential Landlord Association has continually warned of a landlord exodus ahead of the introduction of the Renters’ Rights Bill driving up prices.

But the Resolution Foundation is forecasting a different reason for rents to rise and disputes the suggestion of landlords leaving the private rented sector.

The think tank said the surge in rent prices for new tenancies seen in recent times is set to filter into existing rents and could see payments rise by 13% over the next three years.

That is set to outstrip the 7.5% increase in wages forecasted by the Office for Budget Responsibility over the same period.

“With more families renting privately, and renting for longer too, these rent surges are a bigger problem for Britain, and require bolder solutions from policy makers,” said Resolution Foundation’s Cara Pacitti. “Short-term solutions include regular uprating of local housing allowance to support poorer families, and the ultimate longer-term solution is to simply build more homes.”

Labour’s Renters’ Rights Bill is expected to make it into law by the summer of 2025. What will it mean for private rental prices? Time will tell.

Source: Big Issue

Related Posts

UK House Price Growth Continues — Buying Opportunities Emerge
Wind, Solar and Hydrogen Power UK Industry Into a New Green Age
EV Adoption and Charging Infrastructure Accelerate Across the UK
Self Certified Sophisticated Investor Statement
I declare that I am a self-certified sophisticated investor for the purposes of the restriction on promotion of non readily realisable securities. I understand that this means:
i. I can receive promotional communications made by a person who is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority which relate to investment activity in non-readily realisable securities;
ii. The investments to which the promotions will relate may expose me to a significant risk of losing all of the property invested.
I am a self-certified sophisticated investor because at least one of the following applies:
a. I am a member of a network or syndicate of business angels and have been so for at least the last six months prior to the date below;
b. I have made more than one investment in an unlisted company in the two years prior to the date below;
c. I am working, or have worked in the two years prior to the date below, in a professional capacity in the private equity sector, or in the provision of finance for small and medium enterprises;
d. I am currently, or have been in the two years prior to the date below, a director of a company with an annual turnover of at least £1,000,000.00.
I accept that the investments to which the promotions will relate may expose me to a significant risk of losing all of the money or other property invested. I am aware that it is open to me to seek advice from someone who specialises in advising on non-readily realisable securities.
High Net Worth Investor Statement
I make this statement so that I can receive promotional communications which are exempt from the restriction on promotion of non-readily realisable securities. The exemption relates to certified high net worth investors and I declare that I qualify as such because at least one of the following applies to me:
I had, throughout the financial year immediately preceding the date below, an annual income to the value of £100,000.00 or more. Annual income for these purposes does not include money withdrawn from my pension savings (except where the withdrawals are used directly for income in retirement). I held, throughout the financial year immediately preceding the date below, net assets to the value of £250,000.00 or more. Net assets for these purposes do not include:
a. The property which is my primary residence or any money raised through a loan secured on that property; or b. Any rights of mine under a qualifying contract of insurance; or c. Any benefits (in the form of pensions or otherwise) which are payable on the termination of my service or on my death or retirement and to which I am (or my dependants are), or may be, entitled; or d. Any withdrawals from my pension savings (except where the withdrawals are used directly for income in retirement).
I accept that the investments to which the promotions will relate may expose me to a significant risk of losing all of the money or other property invested. I am aware that it is open to me to seek advice from an authorised person who specialises in advising on non-readily realisable securities.
Information Request
Your privacy is guaranteed.
All data is handled under current GDPR rules.
Risk Warning
All persons who register as an ‘investor’ on this Website should read carefully the following warnings before making any investment.
All investment products carry risks. The relevant webpages and documents will cover risks specific to an individual offer. Please bear in mind the following general risks involved when investing through this Website:
Your personal decision to invest
A decision to invest in a company is a personal decision by you and no responsibility for the consequences of that decision is accepted by either U.K. Income and Growth or by any of its partners, directors, agents, employees or other members. To invest through this Website you need to understand the following important risks:
You are not covered by the financial services compensation scheme
Investments, whether in new or existing businesses, carry high risks as well as the possibility of high rewards. Accordingly, each investor should consider very carefully whether such investments are suitable in the light of their own personal circumstances, commitments and available financial resources. Engaging in any investment activity may expose you to a significant risk of losing all of your investment. This is a high risk investment and much riskier than a savings account. If a company fails, it is likely that you may lose all, or part, of your initial investment and receive no outstanding or future interest payments. In such circumstances neither the company nor U.K. Income and Growth will pay you back your investment.
Most of the companies in which U.K. Income and Growth invest are new companies with limited if any track record. These companies will provide information such as their business plan and financial forecasts. Please be warned that these documents are not guarantees that the relevant company can achieve what it is hoping to do. Equally the information provided may state certain facts and statements, and again please be warned that U.K. Income and Growth are not responsible for checking the accuracy of these facts and statements, which may not always prove to be true or complete.
Liquidity
As an investor you should be aware that no established market exists for the trading of the bonds and equity in private companies, and such bonds and equity are not easily realisable. It must be appreciated that there could be difficulty in selling such investments at a reasonable price and, in some circumstances, it may be difficult to sell them at any price.
Diversify your investments
Diversification by spreading your money across different types of investments should reduce your overall risk of financial loss. We highly recommend investors do this to maintain a balanced portfolio. Investors should also consider avoiding putting their money in the same investment as immediate family members. Investors should only invest a proportion of their available investment funds due to the high risks involved.
Tax
Tax treatment depends on your individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. U.K. Income and Growth recommends that if you require tax advice, you should seek this from a qualified tax professional and recommend that you take your own tax advice on any investments which you make via this Website.
Recommendation
U.K. Income and Growth doesn’t provide advice or make personal recommendations. If you are in any doubt about the action you should take or the contents of a particular Offer Document, you should seek advice from an independent financial advisor authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (+ 2012 Amendments).
Past performance
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. You should not rely on any past performance as a guarantee of future investment performance.
Where security is in place or assets held in support of the investment, there is a risk that if the underlying borrower defaults, or if there is a delay in realising the asset, then the asset may not be sold for enough to cover the loan or may result in delayed repayment of investors’ money. Additionally, where the security is not a first charge, in the event of a sale of the asset funds will be available to be paid to investors only after payment to the chargeholders who rank ahead of investors.
Disclaimer
Investing in equity opportunities such as those promoted by U.K. Income and Growth, involves risks including loss of capital. Investments made through U.K. Income and Growth are not covered by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS).
U.K. Income and Growth is a trading style of Relentless Marketing Ltd, a company registered in England and Wales with Company Number: 11530330 and registered address 71-75 Shelton Street, London, Greater London, United Kingdom, WC2H 9JQ